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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Idaho Regional
Red554
1619217.4
2122195.3
3145143.8
Blue205
1569136.1
3598140.0
4135136.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4732150100300400600700554205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#2
217.40.5
221.1→220.6
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
red by 77.4
3598
#13
140.00.4
139.2→139.6
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
Second
2122
#1
195.30.5
193.2→193.7
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 58.9
4135
#21
136.40.6
137.6→137.0
Auto22.5
Teleop98.0
End14.8
Third
3145
#25
143.80.3
143.3→143.5
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
red by 7.7
1569
#20
136.10.4
136.9→136.5
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7