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Qual 722018 Idaho Regional
Red353
2122195.3
3239154.9
1566102.4
Blue371
6411171.5
2102148.1
3145143.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3583320100200400500600700800353371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
195.31.6
191.6→193.2
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 23.8
6411
#14
171.51.4
169.2→170.6
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
Second
3239
#4
154.91.7
150.0→151.6
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
red by 6.9
2102
#19
148.10.5
148.6→148.1
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
Third
1566
#34
102.41.4
101.0→102.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
blue by 41.4
3145
#25
143.80.5
142.8→143.3
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed