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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Idaho Regional
Red452
3256157.1
1983161.5
4598114.4
Blue251
2102148.1
5496150.0
3245128.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333100200400600800452251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#6
161.50.5
159.8→160.3
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
red by 11.6
5496
#9
150.00.7
149.3→150.0
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
Second
3256
#7
157.10.1
156.8→156.9
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
red by 9.1
2102
#19
148.10.0
148.1→148.1
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
Third
4598
#35
114.40.3
115.5→115.2
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
blue by 13.9
3245
#24
128.30.5
128.8→128.3
Auto20.4
Teleop96.8
End9.3