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Semifinal 2-22018 Idaho Regional
Red259
3128173.0
3230181.4
1891136.3
Blue391
2130164.3
3239154.9
3288111.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408292100200500600700259391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
181.40.2
182.0→181.8
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 17.1
2130
#8
164.30.6
162.2→162.8
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
Second
3128
#5
173.00.4
172.4→172.8
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 18.1
3239
#4
154.90.5
153.3→153.8
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Third
1891
#15
136.30.0
136.5→136.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
red by 24.3
3288
#27
111.90.1
112.5→112.4
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6