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Semifinal 2-32018 Idaho Regional
Red203
3128173.0
3230181.4
1891136.3
Blue306
2130164.3
3239154.9
3288111.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397296100200500600700203306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.40.3
181.8181.4
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 17.1
164.30.6
162.8163.4
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
Second
173.00.2
172.8173.0
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 18.1
154.90.5
153.8154.2
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Third
1891
#15
136.30.2
136.5136.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
red by 24.3
3288
#27
111.90.1
112.4112.3
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6