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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Idaho Regional
Red423
3128173.0
3230181.4
1891136.3
Blue272
4944170.5
115159.1
6411171.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357356280300320340380400420423272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
181.40.1
182.3→182.1
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 9.9
6411
#14
171.50.5
170.6→171.1
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
Second
3128
#5
173.00.6
170.8→171.4
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 2.5
4944
#12
170.50.2
171.0→170.8
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
Third
1891
#15
136.30.1
136.2→136.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
blue by 22.8
115
#11
159.10.3
158.5→158.9
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4