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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Idaho Regional
Red333
3128173.0
3230181.4
1891136.3
Blue292
4944170.5
115159.1
6411171.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364350250300400450500333292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
181.40.0
182.1→182.1
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 9.9
6411
#14
171.50.4
171.1→171.5
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
Second
3128
#5
173.00.6
171.4→172.0
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 2.5
4944
#12
170.50.3
170.8→170.5
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
Third
1891
#15
136.30.1
136.3→136.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
blue by 22.8
115
#11
159.10.2
158.9→159.1
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4