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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Idaho Regional
Red461
2130164.3
3239154.9
3288111.9
Blue158
5933135.4
4175132.8
2594132.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350317150200250400450500550461158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.30.7
159.9160.7
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
red by 28.8
5933
#32
135.40.3
135.0135.3
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Second
154.90.5
151.6152.2
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
red by 22.1
4175
#10
132.80.9
131.3132.2
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
Third
3288
#27
111.90.2
112.9112.7
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6
blue by 20.4
2594
#16
132.30.4
131.6132.0
Auto16.6
Teleop100.8
End16.2