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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Idaho Regional
Red389
2130164.3
3239154.9
3288111.9
Blue247
5933135.4
4175132.8
2594132.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358305200400500389247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#8
164.30.8
160.7→161.4
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
red by 28.8
5933
#32
135.40.2
135.3→135.4
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Second
3239
#4
154.90.6
152.2→152.7
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
red by 22.1
4175
#10
132.80.6
132.2→132.8
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
Third
3288
#27
111.90.1
112.7→112.6
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6
blue by 20.4
2594
#16
132.30.2
132.0→132.3
Auto16.6
Teleop100.8
End16.2