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Red364
7148135.1
1891136.3
1983161.5
Blue235
668090.3
5496150.0
115159.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823220100200400500600700364235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.8
154.7155.5
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
red by 2.4
115
#11
159.12.4
149.5151.9
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
Second
1891
#15
136.31.0
126.9125.9
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
blue by 13.7
150.00.4
140.7141.1
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
Third
7148
#18
135.113.7
77.791.5
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
red by 44.8
6680
#39
90.310.1
80.891.0
Auto12.9
Teleop66.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed