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Red363
3145143.8
3256157.1
3562111.1
Blue287
5933135.4
3239154.9
5871105.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333263100200300400500600700363287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.10.9
148.9149.9
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
red by 2.2
3239
#4Sur
154.90.9
139.3140.2
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Second
3145
#25Sur
143.89.8
100.5110.3
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
red by 8.4
5933
#32
135.41.1
133.9132.9
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Third
3562
#31
111.16.6
99.7106.3
Auto15.3
Teleop89.6
End6.5
red by 5.3
5871
#38
105.81.1
113.7112.6
Auto15.1
Teleop79.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned