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Red442
2130164.3
3513122.0
3230181.4
Blue169
1566102.4
3288111.9
3598140.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3771870100300500600700442169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.40.7
164.0164.7
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 41.4
3598
#13
140.00.3
128.3128.0
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
Second
164.38.9
114.3123.2
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
red by 52.4
3288
#27
111.90.2
107.5107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6
Third
3513
#26
122.07.2
99.9107.1
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End18.6
red by 19.6
1566
#34Sur
102.44.8
90.395.0
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed