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Qual 162018 Idaho Regional
Red256
3243106.3
6358148.6
4585118.0
Blue364
7148135.1
1569136.1
4175132.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643070100200400500600256364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#33
148.62.8
136.3→139.1
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
red by 12.5
1569
#20
136.18.1
107.9→116.0
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
Second
4585
#30
118.01.4
120.0→118.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.5
End10.8
blue by 17.1
7148
#18
135.110.5
91.5→102.0
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
Third
3243
#29
106.31.4
107.0→105.6
Auto15.2
Teleop79.2
End12.5
blue by 26.6
4175
#10
132.86.1
94.1→100.2
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed