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Qual 172018 Idaho Regional
Red213
6411171.5
5496150.0
5630115.0
Blue386
4598114.4
2102148.1
3128173.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349289100200400500600700213386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#14
171.50.5
167.4→166.9
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
blue by 1.5
3128
#5
173.00.6
155.3→156.0
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
Second
5496
#9
150.00.0
141.1→141.1
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
red by 1.9
2102
#19
148.10.6
147.9→147.4
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
Third
5630
#37
115.07.1
102.5→109.6
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
red by 0.6
4598
#35
114.40.6
109.7→109.1
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed