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Qual 182018 Idaho Regional
Red463
4944170.5
2122195.3
2594132.3
Blue169
115159.1
7301110.3
1983161.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562860100200400500600700800463169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
195.31.0
176.4→177.4
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 33.8
1983
#6
161.51.2
155.5→156.7
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
Second
4944
#12
170.50.1
169.6→169.6
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
red by 11.4
115
#11
159.11.4
151.9→153.3
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
Third
2594
#16
132.30.1
125.6→125.5
Auto16.6
Teleop100.8
End16.2
red by 22.0
7301
#28
110.37.1
90.8→97.9
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed