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Qual 212018 Idaho Regional
Red386
115159.1
5630115.0
2122195.3
Blue273
4585118.0
2130164.3
3256157.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369274100200400500600386273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
195.31.9
177.4→179.3
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 31.0
2130
#8
164.39.0
123.2→132.2
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
Second
115
#11
159.10.2
153.3→153.5
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
red by 2.0
3256
#7
157.10.9
149.9→150.7
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
Third
5630
#37
115.03.4
109.6→113.0
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
blue by 2.9
4585
#30
118.00.8
118.6→117.8
Auto15.8
Teleop92.5
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed