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Qual 222018 Idaho Regional
Red226
4598114.4
5430104.0
7148135.1
Blue434
3128173.0
1891136.3
3598140.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033710100300400500600226434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7148
#18
135.19.3
102.0→111.3
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
blue by 37.9
3128
#5
173.02.0
156.0→157.9
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
Second
4598
#35
114.40.8
109.1→109.9
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
blue by 25.6
3598
#13
140.00.5
128.0→127.4
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
Third
5430
#36
104.00.1
101.8→101.7
Auto13.8
Teleop82.1
End12.1
blue by 32.3
1891
#15
136.30.6
125.9→126.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned