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Qual 292018 Idaho Regional
Red388
4135136.4
3006103.3
2122195.3
Blue257
3288111.9
6358148.6
4643118.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722290100200300400500388257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
195.32.1
179.3→181.4
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 46.7
6358
#33
148.62.1
141.3→143.4
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
Second
4135
#21
136.40.4
136.8→137.2
Auto22.5
Teleop98.0
End14.8
red by 18.0
4643
#22
118.42.0
123.3→121.3
Auto18.5
Teleop85.2
End15.3
Third
3006
#23
103.31.8
105.4→103.7
Auto17.3
Teleop83.1
End6.1
blue by 8.6
3288
#27
111.90.2
107.7→107.9
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed