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Qual 302018 Idaho Regional
Red352
1983161.5
1569136.1
3128173.0
Blue344
7148135.1
1619217.4
2102148.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341369200250300400450500550352344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#5
173.02.7
157.9→160.7
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
blue by 44.4
1619
#2
217.40.2
222.4→222.2
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
Second
1983
#6
161.50.1
156.9→157.0
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
red by 13.5
2102
#19
148.11.0
148.5→149.4
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
Third
1569
#20
136.18.3
123.6→131.9
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
red by 1.0
7148
#18
135.16.9
111.3→118.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned48%Face the Boss oddsEarned