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Qual 312018 Idaho Regional
Red278
3256157.1
4598114.4
115159.1
Blue163
7301110.3
3513122.0
3562111.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402480100200300400500600278163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#11
159.10.7
153.5→154.2
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
red by 37.1
3513
#26
122.05.5
115.0→120.5
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End18.6
Second
3256
#7
157.10.5
150.7→151.3
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
red by 46.1
3562
#31
111.13.0
111.0→114.0
Auto15.3
Teleop89.6
End6.5
Third
4598
#35
114.40.9
109.9→110.8
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
red by 4.1
7301
#28
110.33.4
100.8→104.2
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed