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Qual 322018 Idaho Regional
Red355
5933135.4
6411171.5
1566102.4
Blue319
4944170.5
5630115.0
1891136.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266374100200300500600355319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#14
171.50.6
166.0→165.4
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
red by 1.0
4944
#12
170.51.1
170.8→171.8
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
Second
5933
#32
135.40.0
132.2→132.3
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
blue by 0.8
1891
#15
136.31.6
126.5→128.1
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
Third
1566
#34
102.41.0
97.7→96.7
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
blue by 12.7
5630
#37
115.03.9
113.0→116.8
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed