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Red311
5496150.0
3562111.1
6358148.6
Blue286
3513122.0
5630115.0
2102148.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326301200250350400450311286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.01.3
141.1142.4
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
red by 1.9
2102
#19
148.10.9
149.4150.4
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
Second
6358
#33
148.61.7
143.4145.1
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
red by 26.6
3513
#26
122.02.2
120.5122.6
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End18.6
Third
3562
#31
111.10.4
114.0114.4
Auto15.3
Teleop89.6
End6.5
blue by 4.0
5630
#37
115.01.8
116.8118.7
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed