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Qual 362018 Idaho Regional
Red331
5933135.4
115159.1
2594132.3
Blue273
3006103.3
4175132.8
1619217.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306357100200400500600700331273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#11
159.10.6
154.2→154.9
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
blue by 58.3
1619
#2
217.40.0
222.2→222.2
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
Second
5933
#32
135.40.6
132.3→132.8
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
red by 2.6
4175
#10
132.85.6
111.3→116.9
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
Third
2594
#16
132.30.1
126.5→126.5
Auto16.6
Teleop100.8
End16.2
red by 29.0
3006
#23
103.30.8
103.7→102.8
Auto17.3
Teleop83.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsEarned