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Red317
4643118.4
2130164.3
4598114.4
Blue289
3145143.8
1566102.4
1569136.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813120100200400500600700317289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.35.6
137.8143.4
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
red by 20.5
3145
#25
143.86.8
124.6131.4
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
Second
4643
#22
118.41.6
121.3119.7
Auto18.5
Teleop85.2
End15.3
blue by 17.7
1569
#20
136.16.5
131.9138.4
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
Third
4598
#35
114.40.8
110.8111.5
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
red by 12.0
1566
#34
102.40.8
96.797.5
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed