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Red370
3598140.0
1983161.5
3256157.1
Blue250
4175132.8
6411171.5
4643118.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412840100200400500370250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.8
153.9154.7
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
blue by 9.9
6411
#14
171.50.8
169.1168.3
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
Second
157.11.0
147.0148.0
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
red by 24.3
4175
#10
132.816.9
66.583.4
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
Third
3598
#13
140.00.1
128.1128.0
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
red by 21.5
4643
#22
118.41.8
130.0128.2
Auto18.5
Teleop85.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed