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Qual 52018 Idaho Regional
Red395
7301110.3
1619217.4
5630115.0
Blue117
1891136.3
668090.3
3288111.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072020100300500600700395117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#2
217.40.1
223.4→223.3
Auto24.0
Teleop152.8
End35.0
red by 81.1
1891
#15
136.30.3
127.2→126.9
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
Second
5630
#37
115.016.0
74.4→90.4
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
red by 3.1
3288
#27
111.90.6
109.1→108.5
Auto15.2
Teleop80.8
End13.6
Third
7301
#28
110.332.5
110.3→77.7
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
red by 20.0
6680
#39
90.317.2
63.6→80.8
Auto12.9
Teleop66.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed