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Red224
2130164.3
3145143.8
5461126.9
Blue473
6358148.6
115159.1
3239154.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833380100200400500600224473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.314.2
90.7104.9
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
red by 5.2
115
#11
159.11.7
147.8149.5
Auto18.7
Teleop121.2
End20.4
Second
3145
#25
143.816.1
73.889.9
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
blue by 11.1
154.91.9
134.9136.8
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
Third
5461
#17
126.90.8
121.7122.5
Auto18.3
Teleop91.1
End22.3
blue by 21.7
6358
#33
148.61.5
132.5134.1
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed