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Red373
3239154.9
7148135.1
2130164.3
Blue256
5461126.9
5933135.4
4135136.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349289100200400500600373256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.35.4
143.4148.8
Auto22.4
Teleop115.8
End24.7
red by 27.9
4135
#21
136.40.1
138.1138.2
Auto22.5
Teleop98.0
End14.8
Second
154.90.9
143.2144.1
Auto21.1
Teleop113.1
End21.2
red by 19.5
5933
#32
135.40.6
132.8133.4
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Third
7148
#18
135.11.9
123.2125.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
red by 8.2
5461
#17
126.90.4
121.8122.2
Auto18.3
Teleop91.1
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed