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Red353
668090.3
4175132.8
3145143.8
Blue292
1891136.3
3256157.1
3513122.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383550100200300400500353292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
#25
143.82.9
131.4134.3
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
blue by 13.3
157.11.1
151.7152.8
Auto21.8
Teleop124.9
End9.0
Second
4175
#10
132.84.2
116.9121.1
Auto16.8
Teleop99.8
End19.3
blue by 3.4
1891
#15
136.31.4
129.2130.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
Third
6680
#39
90.32.3
95.493.1
Auto12.9
Teleop66.3
End13.6
blue by 31.7
3513
#26
122.00.5
122.6122.1
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed