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Qual 452018 Idaho Regional
Red296
3230181.4
3006103.3
6358148.6
Blue345
4944170.5
1983161.5
6411171.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843910100200500600700800296345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
181.42.8
172.0→174.8
Auto21.9
Teleop134.7
End19.7
red by 9.9
6411
#14
171.50.8
165.5→166.2
Auto19.0
Teleop131.1
End21.4
Second
6358
#33
148.61.5
145.1→146.7
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
blue by 21.9
4944
#12
170.50.0
172.4→172.4
Auto23.3
Teleop128.3
End15.8
Third
3006
#23
103.30.5
102.8→102.3
Auto17.3
Teleop83.1
End6.1
blue by 58.3
1983
#6
161.50.4
157.5→157.9
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed