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Qual 462018 Idaho Regional
Red222
1569136.1
2102148.1
5871105.8
Blue295
5496150.0
1566102.4
7301110.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362700100200400500600222295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#19
148.10.0
150.4→150.4
Auto21.5
Teleop107.3
End19.9
blue by 1.9
5496
#9
150.00.8
143.6→144.3
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
Second
1569
#20
136.12.7
138.4→141.0
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
red by 25.8
7301
#28
110.31.5
105.0→106.4
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.9
Third
5871
#38
105.80.7
111.4→110.7
Auto15.1
Teleop79.4
End10.6
red by 3.4
1566
#34
102.41.6
96.3→97.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed