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Red312
3598140.0
7148135.1
4643118.4
Blue229
1566102.4
3513122.0
6358148.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323287100200400500600312229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#13
140.01.5
134.3135.8
Auto20.2
Teleop108.3
End12.0
blue by 8.6
6358
#33
148.60.6
147.7148.4
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
Second
7148
#18
135.12.9
127.9130.7
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
red by 13.1
3513
#26
122.00.7
122.4121.7
Auto16.1
Teleop88.9
End18.6
Third
4643
#22
118.40.2
118.4118.2
Auto18.5
Teleop85.2
End15.3
red by 16.0
1566
#34
102.41.4
97.999.3
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed