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Qual 542018 Idaho Regional
Red461
5496150.0
5461126.9
3128173.0
Blue272
4598114.4
3145143.8
5933135.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862590100200300500600461272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#5
173.01.3
166.0→167.3
Auto19.7
Teleop124.2
End29.1
red by 29.2
3145
#25
143.82.1
136.8→138.9
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
Second
5496
#9
150.00.8
144.3→145.2
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
red by 14.5
5933
#32
135.40.2
134.0→134.1
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Third
5461
#17
126.91.2
122.6→123.8
Auto18.3
Teleop91.1
End22.3
red by 12.5
4598
#35
114.40.6
114.6→115.3
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed