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Red366
1983161.5
5871105.8
3145143.8
Blue132
5630115.0
4135136.4
4598114.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339263100200300400500366132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.5
157.8158.4
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
red by 25.1
4135
#21
136.40.1
138.1138.2
Auto22.5
Teleop98.0
End14.8
Second
3145
#25
143.81.7
138.9140.6
Auto19.6
Teleop106.2
End15.3
red by 28.8
5630
#37
115.01.2
118.1116.9
Auto15.7
Teleop84.2
End13.5
Third
5871
#38
105.81.3
107.5106.2
Auto15.1
Teleop79.4
End10.6
blue by 8.6
4598
#35
114.40.7
115.3116.0
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed