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Red352
2122195.3
4643118.4
4585118.0
Blue260
3562111.1
5933135.4
7148135.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682560100200300400500352260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.31.8
189.9191.6
Auto24.4
Teleop142.1
End27.9
red by 59.9
5933
#32
135.40.3
134.1134.5
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Second
4643
#22
118.40.1
118.2118.3
Auto18.5
Teleop85.2
End15.3
blue by 16.7
7148
#18
135.12.4
130.7133.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.0
End15.2
Third
4585
#30
118.00.7
116.5117.2
Auto15.8
Teleop92.5
End10.8
red by 6.9
3562
#31
111.12.0
114.0112.0
Auto15.3
Teleop89.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed