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Qual 692018 Idaho Regional
Red340
5461126.9
1983161.5
1566102.4
Blue335
5933135.4
4585118.0
5496150.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313318200250300350400450340335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#6
161.51.0
158.4→159.4
Auto16.0
Teleop128.3
End20.3
red by 11.6
5496
#9
150.02.0
146.6→148.6
Auto14.7
Teleop111.9
End25.6
Second
5461
#17
126.91.3
125.6→126.9
Auto18.3
Teleop91.1
End22.3
blue by 8.5
5933
#32
135.40.5
134.5→135.0
Auto20.4
Teleop97.9
End18.2
Third
1566
#34
102.40.8
100.2→101.0
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End10.9
blue by 15.6
4585
#30
118.00.7
117.2→118.0
Auto15.8
Teleop92.5
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed