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Qual 702018 Idaho Regional
Red198
1569136.1
6358148.6
1891136.3
Blue314
3562111.1
2594132.3
3245128.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334287100200400500198314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#33
148.60.3
148.9→148.6
Auto17.5
Teleop110.1
End18.5
red by 16.3
2594
#16
132.31.4
130.2→131.6
Auto16.6
Teleop100.8
End16.2
Second
1891
#15
136.31.0
135.2→136.2
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End25.6
red by 8.0
3245
#24
128.32.1
131.5→129.3
Auto20.4
Teleop96.8
End9.3
Third
1569
#20
136.10.6
137.5→136.9
Auto18.0
Teleop101.8
End16.7
red by 25.0
3562
#31
111.11.0
112.0→111.1
Auto15.3
Teleop89.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed