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Quarterfinal 1-32018 Midwest Regional
Red361
2451193.5
16201.2
6823148.8
Blue268
1511161.9
5013148.8
4096146.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431271100200500600700361268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
201.20.4
199.6→200.0
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
red by 39.2
1511
#17
161.90.1
161.9→161.9
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
Second
2451
#10
193.50.1
194.5→194.4
Auto20.5
Teleop151.7
End19.1
red by 44.7
5013
#14
148.80.1
148.7→148.8
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
Third
6823
#21
148.80.0
149.3→149.3
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
red by 2.5
4096
#19
146.30.1
146.2→146.3
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8