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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Midwest Regional
Red336
4213168.9
2338178.0
2010114.4
Blue472
341172.5
2040149.4
5934126.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367357200300400500600336472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#4
178.00.2
177.6→177.9
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
red by 5.6
341
#8
172.50.2
173.1→172.9
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
Second
4213
#6
168.90.7
167.1→167.8
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
red by 19.5
2040
#5
149.40.7
146.2→146.9
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
Third
2010
#32
114.40.4
113.5→113.9
Auto17.9
Teleop84.0
End12.8
blue by 11.6
5934
#16
126.00.6
123.3→123.9
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7