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Qual 12018 Midwest Regional
Red111
6906105.4
3352100.5
2022117.7
Blue367
101138.2
4292103.8
4096146.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453120100200400500600700111367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2022
#24
117.70.9
120.1→119.2
Auto15.3
Teleop92.4
End11.2
blue by 28.6
4096
#19
146.30.2
140.4→140.2
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
Second
6906
#49
105.427.6
105.4→77.7
Auto18.4
Teleop78.1
End13.6
blue by 32.8
101
#30
138.215.1
82.4→97.5
Auto17.7
Teleop103.2
End19.1
Third
3352
#45
100.51.4
115.6→114.2
Auto16.0
Teleop76.3
End9.4
blue by 3.3
4292
#48
103.816.6
68.8→85.4
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed