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Qual 22018 Midwest Regional
Red117
2039111.9
7237101.1
5847135.9
Blue413
2704131.7
6991130.1
269172.3
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653350100200300400500600700117413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#15
135.90.4
131.7→131.3
Auto20.1
Teleop109.6
End7.8
blue by 36.3
269
#3
172.32.9
144.7→147.5
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
2039
#36
111.91.9
122.9→121.0
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
blue by 19.8
2704
#39
131.71.0
122.5→123.5
Auto13.6
Teleop98.0
End20.4
Third
7237
#41
101.123.4
101.1→77.7
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
blue by 29.0
6991
#22
130.11.0
117.7→118.7
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed