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Red132
6823148.8
5125101.7
3110101.2
Blue465
3695173.1
2451193.5
426997.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333810100200300500132465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6823
#21
148.80.9
144.4145.3
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
blue by 44.7
2451
#10
193.50.8
188.4189.2
Auto20.5
Teleop151.7
End19.1
Second
5125
#43
101.717.1
64.581.6
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End13.3
blue by 71.4
3695
#13
173.11.0
161.3162.3
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
Third
3110
#46
101.217.7
59.877.5
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
red by 4.1
4269
#50
97.12.3
106.5104.2
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned