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Qual 42018 Midwest Regional
Red80
3067105.2
3734112.3
4702109.6
Blue196
1511161.9
2136103.6
2725109.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237330010020030040050060080196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3734
#47
112.316.8
67.5→84.3
Auto13.7
Teleop88.9
End11.3
blue by 49.6
1511
#17
161.91.5
164.2→165.7
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
Second
4702
#27
109.618.1
55.8→73.9
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End11.8
red by 0.2
2725
#34
109.517.7
59.6→77.3
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Third
3067
#44
105.217.1
64.8→81.9
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
red by 1.5
2136
#23
103.617.6
60.6→78.2
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed