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Red132
2040149.4
426997.1
1781126.9
Blue369
2905105.5
6421126.2
16201.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423680100200300400500600132369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.41.4
140.0141.3
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
blue by 51.8
16
#1
201.22.3
183.6186.0
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
Second
1781
#40
126.90.6
130.3129.7
Auto16.9
Teleop95.3
End14.0
red by 0.7
6421
#35
126.20.4
129.5129.1
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End11.3
Third
4269
#50
97.10.2
104.2104.0
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
blue by 8.4
2905
#26
105.51.5
110.3108.7
Auto15.2
Teleop78.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed