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Qual 152018 Midwest Regional
Red420
7237101.1
6803173.3
101138.2
Blue256
4787128.2
4979124.0
2709114.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502210100300400500600420256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#11
173.30.2
167.6→167.8
Auto20.2
Teleop130.1
End21.5
red by 45.1
4787
#20
128.20.7
120.8→121.5
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
Second
101
#30
138.212.0
97.5→109.5
Auto17.7
Teleop103.2
End19.1
red by 14.2
4979
#33
124.05.9
91.7→97.6
Auto17.5
Teleop92.2
End15.4
Third
7237
#41
101.19.0
77.7→86.8
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
blue by 13.1
2709
#53
114.210.3
82.5→92.8
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed