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Red560
5934126.0
2338178.0
578162.5
Blue283
4241125.8
4213168.9
2725109.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302910100200400500600700560283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.00.1
164.4164.5
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
red by 9.1
168.92.6
150.3152.8
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
Second
578
#2
162.51.4
145.7147.2
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
red by 36.8
4241
#12
125.80.3
123.9123.6
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
Third
5934
#16
126.06.6
83.990.5
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7
red by 16.6
2725
#34
109.510.9
77.388.3
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed