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Qual 172018 Midwest Regional
Red219
3488128.0
6991130.1
5350109.3
Blue356
341172.5
111168.4
6906105.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383490100200300400500600219356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6991
#22
130.11.7
118.7→120.4
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
blue by 42.4
341
#8
172.51.0
160.2→161.1
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
Second
3488
#25
128.013.2
88.9→102.1
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
blue by 40.5
111
#9
168.42.5
158.0→160.5
Auto19.3
Teleop130.9
End17.0
Third
5350
#51
109.314.8
77.0→91.8
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
red by 3.9
6906
#49
105.47.8
77.7→85.6
Auto18.4
Teleop78.1
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed