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Qual 182018 Midwest Regional
Red323
269172.3
3067105.2
2039111.9
Blue312
5822140.0
2358122.4
5442153.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289343100150200250400450500323312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#3
172.33.3
147.5→150.9
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
red by 18.6
5442
#18
153.70.1
155.9→155.8
Auto21.1
Teleop107.7
End22.2
Second
2039
#36
111.92.6
121.0→118.3
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
blue by 28.0
5822
#29
140.01.5
130.4→131.9
Auto19.4
Teleop103.7
End15.7
Third
3067
#44
105.29.8
81.9→91.7
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
blue by 17.3
2358
#28
122.40.6
130.3→130.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed