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Red399
16201.2
4096146.3
6823148.8
Blue122
3061131.0
464589.9
677134.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4362260100300400500600399122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
201.21.9
186.0187.9
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
red by 66.7
677
#31
134.50.4
136.8137.2
Auto20.2
Teleop96.9
End20.7
Second
6823
#21
148.80.8
145.0145.8
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
red by 17.8
3061
#37
131.00.1
138.5138.4
Auto19.2
Teleop98.3
End10.4
Third
4096
#19
146.30.3
140.7141.0
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
red by 56.4
4645
#52
89.90.0
89.589.5
Auto13.6
Teleop70.7
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed