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Qual 212018 Midwest Regional
Red249
215180.6
5847135.9
2136103.6
Blue175
4241125.8
3352100.5
426997.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842320100400500600700800249175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#15
135.91.2
130.0→128.8
Auto20.1
Teleop109.6
End7.8
red by 10.1
4241
#12
125.80.2
123.6→123.7
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
Second
2136
#23
103.64.8
89.0→93.8
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
red by 3.1
3352
#45
100.53.0
111.7→108.7
Auto16.0
Teleop76.3
End9.4
Third
2151
#54
80.63.8
93.9→97.7
Auto13.1
Teleop66.6
End2.1
blue by 16.5
4269
#50
97.10.9
104.0→103.1
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed